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Central Economic Work Conference: Promoting new urbanization and overall rural revitalization, and promoting the integrated development of urban and rural areas. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. The meeting pointed out that it is necessary to promote new urbanization and comprehensive rural revitalization as a whole and promote the integrated development of urban and rural areas. Strictly observe the red line of cultivated land and strictly manage the balance of cultivated land occupation and compensation. We will ensure the stable production and supply of grain and important agricultural products, and improve the comprehensive benefits and competitiveness of agriculture. Protect the enthusiasm of grain farmers and major grain producing areas, and improve the grain price formation mechanism. According to local conditions, we will promote the integrated development of developing the industry, strengthening the county and enriching the people, and do everything possible to broaden the channels for farmers to increase their income. Develop a modern metropolitan area, improve the level of modern governance of megacities, and vigorously develop the county economy. (Xinhua News Agency)European Central Bank President Lagarde: Regardless of the market pricing of interest rate hikes, European Central Bank President Lagarde said that the European Central Bank will adjust its policies according to the data and will decide the policies of each meeting one by one. The neutral interest rate cannot be accurately determined without considering the market pricing of interest rate hikes.European Central Bank President Lagarde: The European Central Bank did not discuss neutral interest rates this week. Many things will become clear in the next few months, not in the next few weeks.

Analysis: Lagarde's speech increased the market's bet to cut interest rates by 50 basis points. In December, the European Central Bank lowered its economic forecast and inflation forecast. At the press conference, European Central Bank President Lagarde paid attention to the downside risks of economic growth, especially mentioning that trade friction may put pressure on economic growth, and also mentioned that they discussed cutting interest rates by 50 basis points. Therefore, the atmosphere of the whole meeting is biased towards doves. The market then increased its bet on a 50 basis point rate cut after January. Although the possibility of a sharp interest rate cut in January is stable at 30%, the possibility of a 50 basis point interest rate cut in March has increased from 30% before the meeting to 40%, and the possibility of a 50 basis point interest rate cut in April has increased from 0% to 5%.WTI crude oil futures fell below $70/barrel, down 0.43% in the day; Brent crude oil fell 0.43% in the day to $73.05/barrel.European Central Bank President Lagarde: Labor cost growth will slow down.

Apple's iOS 18.2 integrates ChatGPT or helps the future sales of iPhone 17. Citigroup maintains a "buy" rating. Citibank pointed out that the iOS 18.2 update released by Apple basically meets expectations and predicts that there will be more highlights in future updates. In the detailed analysis, Atif Malik, an analyst at Citigroup, said that some basic functions of Siri in the latest system version have been taken over by ChatGPT, but this did not affect his view on the phased introduction of Apple Intelligence functions. He thought that this strategy would not significantly change the difference between the update cycle of iPhone 16/17 and the previous cycle. Malik maintains a "Buy" rating on Apple and a target price of $255. For the future, Malik is optimistic about the update of iPhone 17, and predicts that Apple will achieve 227 million units, 246 million units and 253 million units in 2024, 2025 and 2026 respectively.Baiyang Pharmaceutical Group signed an agreement with Peking University Hospital. On December 12, Baiyang Pharmaceutical Group signed a cooperation agreement with Peking University No.1 Hospital, and obtained the exclusive right to patent, clinical development and registration, production and marketing of "targeted integrin small molecule inhibitor" in Peking University Hospital.World Meteorological Organization: The possibility of La Nina in the next three months is more than 50%. The latest forecast released by the World Meteorological Organization on the 11th shows that the possibility of La Nina in the next three months is more than 50%. It is expected that the intensity of La Nina will be weak and the duration will be short. According to the introduction of the World Meteorological Organization, the current El Niñ o/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) index is in a neutral state, which is neither El Niñ o nor La Nina. According to the forecast, from December 2024 to February 2025, the possibility of changing from the current neutral state to La Nina phenomenon is 55%. The forecast also shows that from February to April 2025, the possibility of returning to neutral state is 55%. (Xinhua News Agency)